Bet 1: 1.29% wager on Southampton team total goals over 0.5 @ -129 odds
Bet 2: 0.5% wager on Southampton to win, tie no bet @ +750 odds
Bet 3: 1.0% wager on Southampton +1.5 goals on the Asian line @ +102 odds
Bet 4: 0.5% wager on game total goals over 2.75 @ -152 odds (3 is half win, 4 is full win)
Generally, we do not like to put too many bets on one game, but we just could not pass up the value we were getting across the board. Therefore, we went a little lighter on some bets we would usually go stronger on, so that we could spread the money around. Vegas gave us tremendous value on Southampton and little to no value on betting anything having to do with Man United, which is to be expected. However, if you look at the history of these two squads when going head to head, it is a battle. In the last four matches, three of the games have ended in a draw and Man United won the other by only a goal (3-2). If you dig through Southampton's games against the top half of they league, they have some very impressive wins and always seem to play a tight game. Also, Southampton has Danny Ings, guy has 19 goals, we are pretty sure that is more bingos than all of Aston Villa combined. The guy is a monster and can go off at any point and take over a game, which helps us feel very confident about the over 0.5 goals bet for Southampton. Our model has this game 2-1 in favor of Man United, but hey, maybe we will see a repeat of Leicester City from the other day; 14 red cards, couple PKs, and a total annihilation of a top 5 squad.
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