NHL Bets - 8/2/2020 - Part 2 (Columbus vs Toronto) (Minnesota vs Vancouver)

Game 1: Columbus Blue Jackets vs Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Bet 1: 2.5% wager on total goals over 5.5 @ -121 odds

Torts and the Blue Jackets vs the Maple Leafs, this will be on interesting matchup. According to our model and analysis we believe this game has a 60% chance of going over 5.5 goals, so only laying -121 made a lot of sense to us. We stayed away from taking any sides in this game because we saw no value and we honestly just have no idea what to expect. Toronto has the ability to score 8 goals in the blink of an eye with their young guns of Matthews, Marner, Nylander, Kapanen, etc. However, the out-of-nowhere tendy that Columbus will be presenting has shown he can shut the door on anyone. Merzlikins, in 31 games started in his first year, posted a 2.35 GAA and a .923 SV%; that is much better than his counterpart, Frederik Andersen. The other interesting aspect of this series is that these two teams have not played each other in almost a year! Their last two matchups were in October of 2019 where they each won a game and there was a combined 12 goals scored. Neither of these squads have been able to shut out each other since 2015 when they had completely different lineups. We expect a lot of pucks to hit twine, we just are not sure which side will have more.

Game 2: Minnesota Wild vs Vancouver Canucks

  • Bet 1: 1.5% wager on Vancouver to win, including overtime @ -110 odds

  • Bet 2: Series Bet: 3.0% wager on Vancouver to advance to next round @ -121 odds

This series seems to echo that of the Chicago and Edmonton series; where you have the up and comers vs the seasoned veterans. However, the Wild have never made it to level of the Chicago Blackhawks and in the sense of playoff runs, the veterans of the Wild never lived up to their expectations. We think most of the veterans that the Wild will count on are cooked; Parise is 36, Eric Staal is 35, and Suter is 35. The likes of Brock Boeser and Elias Pettersson should be able to take it to Minnesota. On top of that, Markstrom of the Canucks is the best goaltender in this series and should remain so throughout and this is Vancouver's main advantage. Although, the Wild have taken 4 of the last 5 games against the Canucks, we believe this series is where the page is turned and the future of the Canucks youngsters begin to take root.


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