Premier League - 1 Game, 2 Bets (Sometimes, less action means better action) - 7/17/2020

Game 1: West Ham vs Watford

  • Bet 1: 3.0% wager on total goals over 2.5 @ +114 odds

  • Bet 2: 1.0% wager on West Ham -0.5 on the Asian Line @ +143 odds

A couple trashcans battling it out, we just had to figure out who is full of more garbage; according to the model, it is Watford. We love getting plus odds and we extra love getting plus odds on the over 2.5 goal line when we think the game will be 2-1 in favor of West Ham. The last two time these teams played each other it was 3-1 (West Ham) and 4-1 (West Ham), we expect that trend to continue. West Ham is also battling to stay above the relegation line, which should add to their motivation to pick up this win against a cupcake.

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