•Risking 5 Units at -110 odds on Tampa Bay Buccaneers Season Win Total Over 10 Games.
•Risking 1 Unit at +600 odds on Tampa Bay Buccaneers to Win the NFC Championship Game.
We could not believe our eyes when we saw these two bets and knew we had to bet them big. How many years it is going to take for Vegas to believe in this guy. According to pro-football-reference.com, Tom Brady has played in 20 NFL seasons; we are only going to focus on 18 of them because his season in 2000 only saw him take 3 passing attempts and his season in 2008 was ruined with injury. Of the remaining 18 seasons, TB12 quarterbacked teams saw one less than 10-win season (5.5%), two exactly 10-win seasons (11.1%) and 15 seasons over 10 wins (83.3%). Let us help you make sense of this, basically, Vegas is saying the Bucs have a 52.38% chance of winning more than 10 games and Tom Brady told us he has a 83.33% chance of winning more than 10 games. It is interesting to note that Tom Brady is 56-16 against NFC teams for his career and 11-4 against the Bucs divisional opponents he’ll face this year with 28 Touchdowns to just 9 Interceptions, so fitting into the new conference should be the last thing on TB12’s worry list.
Now let us hear it, “What about Belichick?”, “Bro, he had Randy Moss.”, “He won’t do anything without Edelman.”, “He won’t be able to show up for Bucs fans.” We hear you, we do, so let us clapback. Bruce Arians is 56-39-1 in 7 seasons and 5 of those were with the garbage Arizona Cardinals. He is an offensive genius and had Winston throwing for a league high in yardage and second highest in TDs in 2019; we think Arians will do fine coaching up Brady. Next, did you mention Randy Moss? Fairly sure he was with New England for less time than Antonio Brown. Anyway, when Cameron Brate is your 3rd string TE, you must have some studs in front of him, hmm let’s think…oh yea the likes of O.J. Howard and Gronk (TB12’s partner in crime) should do the trick. While Brady is lighting up the middle of the field with those 3 big guys, Godwin and Evans will be showing off some sick route running while remembering, fondly, the days they used to touch the ball. In all seriousness, go ahead and cover O.J. and Gronk, I hope you know in 2019 Godwin put up 1,333yds and 9 TDs and Evans put up 1,157yds and 8 TDs with Winston steering the ship and he was hitting every iceberg in the ocean with 30 INTs (Brady only has 29 INTs combined in the last 4 seasons).
I know what is coming next, “Bruh, defense wins championships.” Okay, let’s take a snapshot look at Tampa Bay’s defense. Carmen Vitali from Buccaneers.com writes about the 2019 Buccaneers, “Outside linebacker Shaq Barrett finished the season with 19.5 sacks, surpassing Hall of Famer Warren Sapp’s franchise record in the process. The defense as a whole pressured the quarterback a lot, finishing with the second-most quarterback hits of any team with 116. Their 47 sacks ended up tied for the seventh-most of any team in the NFL and get this – the second-most of any Buccaneer defense ever. They also finished with a top rank against the run, allowing just 73.8 yards on the ground per game, an average of just 3.26 yards per rush – both a league best.” This defense is generally young and only going to get better, especially complemented by an offense that can keep them off the field. Also remember, Last year’s Bucs defense had the league worst starting field position of all teams in the NFL due to Winston’s obsession with turning the ball over. Therefore, between Brady, Arians, all the weapons and their defense; we might see a Tampa Bay Superbowl. If not, we will definitely see over 10 wins and an NFC Championship.
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