With sports suspended until further notice, we are crossing our fingers that the NHL and NBA get to finish their season, the MLB figures out what they need to do, and the NFL starts on time. So, as we all stay inside and help flatten the curve, the boys at Phull Plate have decided to look at some bets down the road. As we dug through some quality options, we came across the Ryder Cup (starting September 24th). Since 2002, the Europeans have dominated this tournament with a 7-2 record (5-0 on European courses and 2-2 while on U.S. courses). However, when looking at the projected line-ups for both squads, we were a little surprised at the matchups, which lead us to our first bet:
• Risking 2 Units at +138 odds on Team Europe to win the Ryder Cup
We love these odds considering what they are backed up with on the European side. We understand Europe will be missing some of their top performers like Rose (#14 WR), Lowry (#19 WR) and Molinari (#28 WR, also big hero from the 2018 Ryder Cup). However, this is some of who they do have: McIlroy (#1 WR), Westwood (#31 WR), the explosive talent of Rahm (#2 WR), Fleetwood (#10 WR), Hatton (#21 WR) and Perez (#40WR). You tell us if you’d bet against the #1 and #2 ranked players in the world, add in some high ranked veteran talent and put them on a team under the incredible leadership of Padraig Harrington @ +138 odds. We are drooling over this bet. The European team dynamic is also supported by a strong culture and will to win this tournament. Think about it, the U.S. is known to be one of, if not, the best sports nation in the world; from major sports to world championships to Olympics. Europeans have generally owned the Ryder Cup since the 80s and want to keep it that way. Americans grow up dreaming about The Masters, The Players, US Open, and all the Major Tournaments. Europeans also dream about those tournaments, but the true biggest event in most Europeans’ eyes is the Ryder Cup, this is their World Cup and defeating the Americans on their turf is motivation beyond just winning. Just replay tape of Poulter’s fist pump and you’ll understand what we are talking about.
We also have an American team of dysfunction going up against the Europeans. Koepka (#3 WR) has admitted that he has had a lot of problems with his swing. Just before The Players, last tournament to be played before the coronavirus pandemic, he bypassed his normal coach to go see legendary coach Butch Harmon for help with his swing and with the mental side of the game. On top of that, the Americans’ Reed (#7 WR), who could be the strongest player for them, found himself at the center of cheating. Koepka did not hesitate (as with several other American golfers) to throw Reed under the bus for the “cheating” incident, twice. Reed has instigated responses from some of his current teammates back in 2014 when we he stated “I’m one of the best 5 golfers in the world” in an interview after a win. Furthermore, he has been named “the most hated player in golf” by Britain’s Telegraph news program. Along with this drama, the U.S. team is plagued by inconsistency (Johnson (#5 WR), Thomas (#4 WR) and Woods #11 WR)); we recognize that this squad could show up and just completely dominate the Europeans. Nevertheless, we will take the odds that they will not all show up on the same page. The Ryder Cup is truly a team game, but can the U.S. truly compete as a team?
It is possible for the Ryder Cup to end up in a tie, it has happened twice. With the Europeans missing key players and the Americans hampered by dysfunction, we could absolutely see the third tie of this great tournament happening this year. Therefore, our second bet is:
• Risking .40 Units at +1,200 odds on a 14-14 Tie
As you see we are only risking .40 of a unit, but the odds of +1,200 make this bet worth it. Of the last 15 Ryder Cups, 40% of them were decided by one point (14.5 to 13.5) and there was a 7th decided by only 2 points.
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